{"id":679,"date":"2022-07-29T23:03:41","date_gmt":"2022-07-29T23:03:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/comitefechadocicloseconomicos.mx\/fechado-de-ciclos\/"},"modified":"2024-06-17T16:59:09","modified_gmt":"2024-06-17T16:59:09","slug":"fechado-de-ciclos","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/comitefechadocicloseconomicos.mx\/en\/fechado-de-ciclos\/","title":{"rendered":"Fechado de ciclos"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\t\t\t<h2>Business Cycle Dating<\/h2>\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<p>Turning points of the mexican business cycles, 1980-2020<\/p>\n\t<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;}\n.tg td{border-color:black;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;\n  overflow:hidden;padding:10px 5px;word-break:normal;}\n.tg th{border-color:black;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;\n  font-weight:normal;overflow:hidden;padding:10px 5px;word-break:normal;}\n.tg .tg-v0hj{background-color:#efefef;border-color:inherit;font-weight:bold;text-align:center;vertical-align:top}\n.tg .tg-zlqz{background-color:#c0c0c0;border-color:inherit;font-weight:bold;text-align:center;vertical-align:top}\n.tg .tg-c3ow{border-color:inherit;text-align:center;vertical-align:top}\n<\/style>\n<table>\n<thead>\n  <tr>\n    \n    <th colspan=\"3\">   Recesi\u00f3n   <\/th>\n    <th colspan=\"3\">  Expansi\u00f3n   <\/th>\n    <th>  Ciclo   <\/th>\n  <\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n  <tr>\n    <td>Ciclos desde <br \/>1980<\/td>\n    <td>Inicio<br \/><\/td>\n    <td>Fin<br \/>(Valle)    <\/td>\n    <td>Duraci\u00f3n<br \/>(meses)<\/td>\n    <td>Inicio  <br \/><\/td>\n    <td>Fin<br \/>(Pico)    <\/td>\n    <td>Duraci\u00f3n<br \/>(meses)<\/td>\n    <td>Duraci\u00f3n<br \/>(meses)<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n  <tr>\n    <td>1<\/td>\n    <td>Diciembre<br \/>1981<\/td>\n    <td>Junio<br \/>1983<\/td>\n    <td>19<\/td>\n    <td>Julio<br \/>1983<\/td>\n    <td>Septiembre<br \/>1985<\/td>\n    <td>27<\/td>\n    <td>46<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n  <tr>\n    <td>2   <\/td>\n    <td>Octubre<br \/>1985<\/td>\n    <td>Diciembre<br \/>1986   <\/td>\n    <td>15<\/td>\n    <td>Enero<br \/>1987<\/td>\n    <td>Noviembre<br \/>1994<\/td>\n    <td>   95<\/td>\n    <td>110<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n  <tr>\n    <td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>3&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n    <td>Diciembre<br \/>1994<\/td>\n    <td>Mayo<br \/>1995<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    6<\/td>\n    <td>Junio<br \/>1995   <br \/><\/td>\n    <td>Septiembre<br \/>2000   <br \/><\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    64<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    70<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n  <tr>\n    <td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>4&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Octubre<br \/>2000   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Enero<br \/>2002   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    16<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Febrero<br \/>2002   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Junio<br \/>2008   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    77<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    93<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n  <tr>\n    <td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>5&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Julio<br \/>2008   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Mayo<br \/>2009   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    11<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Junio<br \/>2009   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Mayo<br \/>2019   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    120<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    131<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n  <tr>\n    <td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>6&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Junio<br \/>2019   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Mayo<br \/>2020   <\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>    12<\/td>\n    <td>   <br \/>Junio<br \/>2020   <\/td>\n    <td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n    <td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n    <td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\t\t\t\t<p>The following graph shows the chronology and duration, in months, of the different cycles and their respective phases. It is then that the CFCEM identified 5 complete cycles plus a recession corresponding to ta new cycle. The average duration of the complete cycles was 90 months. The shortest cycle, from 1981 to 1985 lasted 46 months and the longest one, from 2008 to 2019 spanned 131 months. As is often the case when following the classical cycle approach, recessions in general were shorter than the recoveries, with the average duration of recessions being 13.2 months, while that of recoveries was 76.6 months. The shortest recession was the one from 1994 to 1995 which lasted for only 6 months, while the longest was the one from 1981 to 1983 that lasted 19 months. Regarding the recoveries, the shortest was the one from 1983 to 1985 which took 19 months, while the longest one was from 2009 to 2019 which lasted 120 months.<\/p>\n\t<p>Chronology and duration of business cycles and its phases in the Mexican economy, 1980-2020<\/p>\n<figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/comitefechadocicloseconomicos.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Grafica.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"905\" height=\"394\" \/><\/figure>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Business Cycle Dating Turning points of the mexican business cycles, 1980-2020 Recesi\u00f3n Expansi\u00f3n Ciclo Ciclos desde 1980 Inicio Fin(Valle) Duraci\u00f3n(meses) Inicio Fin(Pico) Duraci\u00f3n(meses) Duraci\u00f3n(meses) 1 Diciembre1981 Junio1983 19 Julio1983 Septiembre1985 27 46 2 Octubre1985 Diciembre1986 15 Enero1987 Noviembre1994 95 110 &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Diciembre1994 Mayo1995 6 Junio1995 Septiembre2000 64 70 &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Octubre2000 Enero2002 16 Febrero2002 Junio2008 77 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"disabled","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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